Trend Strength
50/100Overall directional strength based on available market data.
Live product intelligence
Lost OriginBooster Box
Current market price$729
30-day movement-0.13%
Market Rating59/100Neutral
Fair ValueN/AUpside unavailable
ConfidenceMedium62/100 evidence score
TCGMVP View
The market case for Lost Origin
Additional market data is required before TCGMVP can produce a dependable investment outlook.
Market Rating59/100Neutral
Investment OutlookUnknownForward view
Key signalLow overall market risk.
Primary concernInsufficient market evidence limits forward-looking analysis.
Evidence confidenceMedium62/100
Product overview
Released in September 2022, Lost Origin is a Sword & Shield-era Pokémon TCG expansion featuring the return of the Lost Zone mechanic and a popular Trainer Gallery subset. The set is headlined by Giratina V Alternate Art and includes several highly sought-after character and alternate-art cards. Lost Origin booster boxes have become a notable sealed product from the later Sword & Shield era.
Investment Thesis
Market Intelligence
The platform's primary conclusion, forward outlook, valuation target, and supporting evidence confidence.
TCGMVP Investment Outlook
Forward Investment Analysis
A strategic outlook combining market direction, expected return, inventory absorption, collector demand, market quality, and risk.
Overall OutlookUnknown
Insufficient Market Evidence
Investment outlook unavailable
Additional market data is required before TCGMVP can produce a dependable investment outlook.
Confidence: Insufficient · 62/100
TCGMVP Price Target
Estimated Market Potential
A forward-looking valuation based on Fair Value, market direction, risk, and evidence confidence.
OpportunityUnrated
Insufficient Market Evidence
Price target unavailable
TCGMVP requires a valid actionable entry price and Fair Value before producing a forward-looking target.
Confidence: Insufficient · 62/100
Evidence Quality
Market Confidence
Measures the strength and completeness of the market data supporting these analytics.
Medium
Moderate market evidence
Confidence Score
62
62 / 100
Confidence Factors
- No recent verified sales evidence
- Deep active listing coverage
- Deep historical pricing coverage
- Fair Value estimate is unavailable
- Strong cross-market price agreement
Market Context
Market Statistics
Price behavior and market activity used to frame the intelligence above.
Market Overview
Market Statistics
Objective pricing, historical range, and verified sales statistics used to support TCGMVP market intelligence.
Current Price$729
30D Change-0.1%
52-Week High$841
52-Week Low$634
All-Time High$841
Average Verified Sale—
Latest Verified Sale—
Verified Sales Tracked0
Direction & Risk
Market Analysis
A focused view of current momentum, trend quality, volatility, and downside exposure.
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Trend Analysis
A structured assessment of recent price movement, market position and supporting sales activity.
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Market OutlookNeutralTrend Strength: 50/100
Measures the direction and size of the latest 30-day price movement.
Confidence reflects the amount of sales and price history available to support the analysis.
What is driving this trend?
Price remained essentially unchanged over the last 30 days.
The current price is near the middle of its 52-week range.
No verified recent sales are available to confirm the current trend.
Moderate-confidence market evidence supports this trend assessment (62/100 confidence).
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Risk Analysis
A structured assessment of pricing volatility, liquidity, valuation and supporting data quality.
↓
Overall RiskLowRisk Score: 33/100
Overall Risk Score
33/100Higher scores indicate greater market uncertainty and potential downside risk.
Measures recent price movement and the width of the yearly trading range.
Unavailable because verified recent sales are not yet available.
Measures how elevated the current price is relative to available valuation evidence.
Reflects the amount and quality of data supporting the assessment.
What is driving this risk assessment?
The price changed only 0.1% over 30 days, indicating low short-term volatility.
No verified recent sales are available, so transaction-liquidity risk cannot currently be measured.
Transaction-supported Fair Value is unavailable, so valuation risk is based only on the product's position within its 52-week reference-price range.
Market evidence is moderately reliable (62/100 confidence), leaving some data uncertainty.
TCGMVP Analytics
Supporting Analysis
Explore the market-quality, valuation, and investment metrics supporting the overall Market Rating.
Market Health
Market health unavailable
Verified realized-sale evidence is required before TCGMVP can assess transaction liquidity, supply absorption, and realized-price stability.
LiquidityN/A
Supply balanceN/A
Price stabilityN/A
Verified sales0
Active listings35
Price variationN/A
Market Data
Market Evidence
Review tracked price history, recent completed sales, and active listings behind the analysis.
Price history
Market performance
Current market price$729-$89 (-10.87%) over 1Y