Trend Strength
50/100Overall directional strength based on available market data.
Live product intelligence
Evolving SkiesBooster Box
Current market price$2,459
30-day movement-0.17%
Market Rating66/100Neutral
Fair Value$2,325-1.3% target potential
ConfidenceHigh100/100 evidence score
TCGMVP View
The market case for Evolving Skies
The overall investment outlook is bullish, with a neutral short-term view and a very bullish long-term outlook. Exceptional observed market demand supports continued buyer interest. Very strong inventory absorption indicates recent sales are high relative to currently visible listings, which may support longer-term pricing. The best available entry price is above estimated fair value, which may limit near-term returns. The current price target indicates limited immediate upside from the best available entry price.
Market Rating66/100Neutral
Investment OutlookBullishForward view
Key signalHealthy underlying market conditions support the outlook.
Primary concernThe current price target indicates limited near-term upside from the best available entry price.
Evidence confidenceHigh100/100
Product overview
Released in August 2021, Evolving Skies is one of the most iconic Sword & Shield expansions, featuring Eeveelutions, Rayquaza, and Dragon-type Pokémon. Strong collector demand and limited sealed supply have made it one of the premier long-term investment sets in the Pokémon TCG.
Investment Thesis
Market Intelligence
The platform's primary conclusion, forward outlook, valuation target, and supporting evidence confidence.
TCGMVP Investment Outlook
Forward Investment Analysis
A strategic outlook combining market direction, expected return, inventory absorption, collector demand, market quality, and risk.
Overall OutlookBullish69/100
Investment Thesis
The overall investment outlook is bullish, with a neutral short-term view and a very bullish long-term outlook. Exceptional observed market demand supports continued buyer interest. Very strong inventory absorption indicates recent sales are high relative to currently visible listings, which may support longer-term pricing. The best available entry price is above estimated fair value, which may limit near-term returns. The current price target indicates limited immediate upside from the best available entry price.
ConfidenceHigh100/100
Short-Term OutlookNeutral54/100
Long-Term OutlookVery Bullish83/100
Collector DemandExceptional100/100
Inventory AbsorptionVery Strong95/100
Market MaturityMature92/100
Investment Strengths
- Healthy underlying market conditions support the outlook.
- Strong observed buyer activity supports collector demand.
- Lower overall risk supports a more dependable outlook.
- Strong inventory absorption indicates recent sales are high relative to currently visible listings.
Market Headwinds
- The current price target indicates limited near-term upside from the best available entry price.
- The best available entry price is above estimated fair value.
TCGMVP Price Target
Estimated Market Potential
A forward-looking valuation based on Fair Value, market direction, risk, and evidence confidence.
OpportunityLimited
Price Target$2,418High confidence · 100/100
Expected Return-1.3%From the best available entry price
Best Entry Price$2,449.99
Reference Market Price$2,458.52
Fair Value$2,325
Margin of Safety-5.4%
Valuation Downside5.1%
Target Adjustment+4.0%
Supporting Drivers
- Lower market risk supports the forward valuation.
Risks and Limitations
- The best available entry price is modestly above estimated fair value.
Evidence Quality
Market Confidence
Measures the strength and completeness of the market data supporting these analytics.
High
Strong market evidence
Confidence Score
100
100 / 100
Confidence Factors
- Deep recent verified sales evidence
- Healthy active listing depth
- Deep historical pricing coverage
- Strong cross-market price agreement
Market Context
Market Statistics
Price behavior and market activity used to frame the intelligence above.
Market Overview
Market Statistics
Objective pricing, historical range, and verified sales statistics used to support TCGMVP market intelligence.
Current Price$2,459
30D Change-0.2%
52-Week High$2,715
52-Week Low$2,184
All-Time High$2,715
Average Verified Sale$2,347
Latest Verified Sale$2,200
Verified Sales Tracked37
Direction & Risk
Market Analysis
A focused view of current momentum, trend quality, volatility, and downside exposure.
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Trend Analysis
A structured assessment of recent price movement, market position and supporting sales activity.
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Market OutlookNeutralTrend Strength: 50/100
Measures the direction and size of the latest 30-day price movement.
Confidence reflects the amount of sales and price history available to support the analysis.
What is driving this trend?
37 verified recent sales provide deep transaction confirmation of current market behavior.
Price remained essentially unchanged over the last 30 days.
The current price is near the middle of its 52-week range.
High-confidence market evidence supports this trend assessment (100/100 confidence; 37 verified recent sales).
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Risk Analysis
A structured assessment of pricing volatility, liquidity, valuation and supporting data quality.
↓
Overall RiskLowRisk Score: 25/100
Overall Risk Score
25/100Higher scores indicate greater market uncertainty and potential downside risk.
Measures recent price movement and the width of the yearly trading range.
Reflects whether enough recent sales exist to support market demand.
Measures how elevated the current price is relative to available valuation evidence.
Reflects the amount and quality of data supporting the assessment.
What is driving this risk assessment?
The price changed only 0.2% over 30 days, indicating low short-term volatility.
37 verified recent sales and 18 active listings indicate strong market liquidity.
The best available entry price is modestly above estimated Fair Value.
High-quality market evidence (100/100 confidence) keeps data risk low.
TCGMVP Analytics
Supporting Analysis
Explore the market-quality, valuation, and investment metrics supporting the overall Market Rating.
Market Health
Strong
Measures transaction liquidity, supply balance, and realized-price stability across the tracked market.
85/100
Liquidity100
Supply balance100
Price stability50
Verified sales37
Active listings18
Price variation9.5%
Market Data
Market Evidence
Review tracked price history, recent completed sales, and active listings behind the analysis.
Price history
Market performance
Current market price$2,459-$40 (-1.62%) over 1Y