Trend Strength
45/100Overall directional strength based on available market data.
Live product intelligence
Chilling ReignBooster Box
Current market price$494
30-day movement-1.15%
Market Rating70/100Favorable
Fair Value$440+9.7% target potential
ConfidenceHigh100/100 evidence score
TCGMVP View
The market case for Chilling Reign
The overall investment outlook is bullish, with a neutral short-term view and a very bullish long-term outlook. Exceptional observed market demand supports continued buyer interest. Strong inventory absorption indicates healthy sales activity relative to currently visible listings. The best available entry price is below estimated fair value, providing a modest valuation cushion. The current price target indicates meaningful appreciation potential from the best available entry price.
Market Rating70/100Favorable
Investment OutlookBullishForward view
Key signalHealthy underlying market conditions support the outlook.
Primary concernNo major concern identified
Evidence confidenceHigh100/100
Product overview
Released in June 2021, Chilling Reign is a Sword & Shield expansion centered around the Legendary Galarian Birds and Calyrex. The set features a deep lineup of highly sought-after alternate art cards, including Blaziken VMAX, Galarian Moltres V, and Shadow Rider Calyrex VMAX. While initially overshadowed by Evolving Skies, growing sealed scarcity and strong collector demand have positioned Chilling Reign as one of the strongest long-term investment opportunities from the Sword & Shield era.
Investment Thesis
Market Intelligence
The platform's primary conclusion, forward outlook, valuation target, and supporting evidence confidence.
TCGMVP Investment Outlook
Forward Investment Analysis
A strategic outlook combining market direction, expected return, inventory absorption, collector demand, market quality, and risk.
Overall OutlookBullish72/100
Investment Thesis
The overall investment outlook is bullish, with a neutral short-term view and a very bullish long-term outlook. Exceptional observed market demand supports continued buyer interest. Strong inventory absorption indicates healthy sales activity relative to currently visible listings. The best available entry price is below estimated fair value, providing a modest valuation cushion. The current price target indicates meaningful appreciation potential from the best available entry price.
ConfidenceHigh100/100
Short-Term OutlookNeutral62/100
Long-Term OutlookVery Bullish80/100
Collector DemandExceptional91/100
Inventory AbsorptionStrong68/100
Market MaturityMature96/100
Investment Strengths
- Healthy underlying market conditions support the outlook.
- Strong observed buyer activity supports collector demand.
- Lower overall risk supports a more dependable outlook.
- Strong inventory absorption indicates recent sales are high relative to currently visible listings.
- The current price target indicates meaningful potential return from the best available entry price.
Market Headwinds
No material market headwinds were identified from the available data.
TCGMVP Price Target
Estimated Market Potential
A forward-looking valuation based on Fair Value, market direction, risk, and evidence confidence.
OpportunityGood
Price Target$455.14High confidence · 100/100
Expected Return+9.7%From the best available entry price
Best Entry Price$415
Reference Market Price$494.29
Fair Value$440
Margin of Safety+5.7%
Valuation Downside0.0%
Target Adjustment+3.4%
Supporting Drivers
- The best available entry price is modestly below estimated fair value.
- Lower market risk supports the forward valuation.
Risks and Limitations
No material valuation concerns were identified from the available data.
Evidence Quality
Market Confidence
Measures the strength and completeness of the market data supporting these analytics.
High
Strong market evidence
Confidence Score
100
100 / 100
Confidence Factors
- Deep recent verified sales evidence
- Deep active listing coverage
- Deep historical pricing coverage
- Strong cross-market price agreement
Market Context
Market Statistics
Price behavior and market activity used to frame the intelligence above.
Market Overview
Market Statistics
Objective pricing, historical range, and verified sales statistics used to support TCGMVP market intelligence.
Current Price$494
30D Change-1.2%
52-Week High$578
52-Week Low$411
All-Time High$578
Average Verified Sale$442
Latest Verified Sale$466
Verified Sales Tracked36
Direction & Risk
Market Analysis
A focused view of current momentum, trend quality, volatility, and downside exposure.
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Trend Analysis
A structured assessment of recent price movement, market position and supporting sales activity.
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Market OutlookNeutralTrend Strength: 45/100
Measures the direction and size of the latest 30-day price movement.
Confidence reflects the amount of sales and price history available to support the analysis.
What is driving this trend?
36 verified recent sales provide deep transaction confirmation of current market behavior.
The current price is near the middle of its 52-week range.
Price declined modestly by 1.2% over the last 30 days.
High-confidence market evidence supports this trend assessment (100/100 confidence; 36 verified recent sales).
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Risk Analysis
A structured assessment of pricing volatility, liquidity, valuation and supporting data quality.
↓
Overall RiskLowRisk Score: 21/100
Overall Risk Score
21/100Higher scores indicate greater market uncertainty and potential downside risk.
Measures recent price movement and the width of the yearly trading range.
Reflects whether enough recent sales exist to support market demand.
Measures how elevated the current price is relative to available valuation evidence.
Reflects the amount and quality of data supporting the assessment.
What is driving this risk assessment?
The price changed only 1.2% over 30 days, indicating low short-term volatility.
36 verified recent sales and 37 active listings indicate strong market liquidity.
The best available entry price is 5.7% below estimated Fair Value, reducing price-entry risk.
High-quality market evidence (100/100 confidence) keeps data risk low.
TCGMVP Analytics
Supporting Analysis
Explore the market-quality, valuation, and investment metrics supporting the overall Market Rating.
Market Health
Healthy
Measures transaction liquidity, supply balance, and realized-price stability across the tracked market.
82/100
Liquidity100
Supply balance70
Price stability70
Verified sales36
Active listings37
Price variation7.8%
Market Data
Market Evidence
Review tracked price history, recent completed sales, and active listings behind the analysis.
Price history
Market performance
Current market price$494-$75 (-13.21%) over 1Y