Trend Strength
38/100Overall directional strength based on available market data.
Live product intelligence
Brilliant StarsBooster Box
Current market price$552
30-day movement-3.70%
Market Rating45/100Weak
Fair ValueN/AUpside unavailable
ConfidenceMedium62/100 evidence score
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TCGMVP View
The market case for Brilliant Stars
Additional market data is required before TCGMVP can produce a dependable investment outlook.
Market Rating45/100Weak
Investment OutlookUnknownForward view
Key signalMarket conditions are balanced
Primary concernInsufficient market evidence limits forward-looking analysis.
Evidence confidenceMedium62/100
Product overview
Released in February 2022, Brilliant Stars is a Sword & Shield-era Pokémon TCG expansion that introduced the Trainer Gallery subset and features Arceus VSTAR as one of the set's signature cards. The set also includes highly sought-after Charizard and alternate-art cards, making Brilliant Stars one of the more recognizable sealed products from the later Sword & Shield era.
Investment Thesis
Market Intelligence
The platform's primary conclusion, forward outlook, valuation target, and supporting evidence confidence.
TCGMVP Investment Outlook
Forward Investment Analysis
A strategic outlook combining market direction, expected return, inventory absorption, collector demand, market quality, and risk.
Overall OutlookUnknown
Insufficient Market Evidence
Investment outlook unavailable
Additional market data is required before TCGMVP can produce a dependable investment outlook.
Confidence: Insufficient · 62/100
TCGMVP Price Target
Estimated Market Potential
A forward-looking valuation based on Fair Value, market direction, risk, and evidence confidence.
OpportunityUnrated
Insufficient Market Evidence
Price target unavailable
TCGMVP requires a valid actionable entry price and Fair Value before producing a forward-looking target.
Confidence: Insufficient · 62/100
Analytical Confidence
Market Confidence
Measures the strength and completeness of the market data supporting these analytics.
Medium
Moderate market evidence
Confidence Score
62
62 / 100
Confidence Factors
- No recent verified sales evidence
- Deep active listing coverage
- Deep historical pricing coverage
- Fair Value estimate is unavailable
- Strong cross-market price agreement
Data Integrity
Evidence & Trust
Evaluates the depth, freshness, consistency, and statistical quality of the market evidence supporting this report.
Evidence QualityModerate54/100
Evidence Quality54
ModerateDepth of the observable market dataset.
Source Agreement100
StrongConsistency across independent market-price signals.
Data Freshness100
FreshRecency of reference, sold, and active-market evidence.
Anomaly Severity0
NoneLower is better · statistical irregularity in market evidence.
Evidence Base
0 verified sales·35 active listings·942 historical observations
Market Context
Market Statistics
Price behavior and market activity used to frame the intelligence above.
Market Overview
Market Statistics
Objective pricing, historical range, and verified sales statistics used to support TCGMVP market intelligence.
Current Price$552
30D Change-3.7%
52-Week High$632
52-Week Low$414
All-Time High$632
Average Verified Sale—
Latest Verified Sale—
Verified Sales Tracked0
Direction & Risk
Market Analysis
A focused view of current momentum, trend quality, volatility, and downside exposure.
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Trend Analysis
A structured assessment of recent price movement, market position and supporting sales activity.
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Market OutlookBearishTrend Strength: 38/100
Measures the direction and size of the latest 30-day price movement.
Confidence reflects the amount of sales and price history available to support the analysis.
What is driving this trend?
The current price is near the middle of its 52-week range.
Price declined 3.7% over the last 30 days.
No verified recent sales are available to confirm the current trend.
Moderate-confidence market evidence supports this trend assessment (62/100 confidence).
TCGMVP Intelligence
Market Risk Analysis
A structured assessment of pricing volatility, liquidity, valuation and supporting data quality.
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Overall RiskModerateRisk Score: 48/100
Overall Risk Score
48/100Higher scores indicate greater market uncertainty and potential downside risk.
Measures recent price movement and the width of the yearly trading range.
Unavailable because verified recent sales are not yet available.
Measures how elevated the current price is relative to available valuation evidence.
Reflects the amount and quality of data supporting the assessment.
What is driving this risk assessment?
The price moved 3.7% over 30 days, indicating relatively stable short-term movement.
No verified recent sales are available, so transaction-liquidity risk cannot currently be measured.
Transaction-supported Fair Value is unavailable, so valuation risk is based only on the product's position within its 52-week reference-price range.
Market evidence is moderately reliable (62/100 confidence), leaving some data uncertainty.
TCGMVP Analytics
Supporting Analysis
Explore the market-quality, valuation, and investment metrics supporting the overall Market Rating.
Market Health
Market health unavailable
Verified realized-sale evidence is required before TCGMVP can assess transaction liquidity, supply absorption, and realized-price stability.
LiquidityN/A
Supply balanceN/A
Price stabilityN/A
Verified sales0
Active listings35
Price variationN/A
Market Data
Market Evidence
Review tracked price history, recent completed sales, and active listings behind the analysis.
Price history
Market performance
Current market price$552+$61 (+12.43%) over 1Y